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Temperature_monthly_averages_projected_2050_to_2079 (FeatureServer)

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Service Description: Monthly averages of surface temperature (C) for 2050-2079 from UKCP18 RCP8.5

Service ItemId: b0b52b05d669459289a8580fd2570475

Has Versioned Data: false

Max Record Count: 2000

Supported query Formats: JSON

Supports applyEdits with GlobalIds: False

Supports Shared Templates: True

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Description:
Monthly averages of surface temperature (C) for 2050-2079 from UKCP18 regional projections (12km grid), using the RCP8.5 pathway.

Data defaults to displaying January averages. Each monthly average is a field in the data. Use 'show table' to view all values, and 'change style' to change which month is displayed in the map.

UKCP: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/collaboration/ukcp/index

What is the data?
The data is from the UKCP18 regional projections using the RCP8.5 scenario. RCP8.5 is the highest of the plausible future emissions scenarios used by the IPCC, sometimes referred to as 'business as usual'.

What do the 'median', 'upper', and 'lower' values mean?
This scenario is run as 12 separate ensemble members. To select which ensemble members to use, a single value for the mean UK temperature for the period 2050-2079 was taken from each ensemble member. They were then ranked in order from lowest temperature to highest. 

The 'lower' fields are this data is the second lowest ranked ensemble member. 
The 'higher' fields are the second highest ranked ensemble member. 
The 'median' fields are the central (7th) ranked ensemble member.

This gives a median value, and a spread of the ensemble members indicating the level of uncertainty in the projections.


Original datasets:
tas_rcp85_land-rcm_uk_12km_01_ann-30y_200912-207911.nc (median)
tas_rcp85_land-rcm_uk_12km_07_ann-30y_200912-207911.nc (lower)
tas_rcp85_land-rcm_uk_12km_08_ann-30y_200912-207911.nc (upper)


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Spatial Reference: 4326 (4326)

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Units: esriDecimalDegrees

Child Resources:   Info   SharedTemplates

Supported Operations:   Query   ConvertFormat   Get Estimates   Create Replica