Description: <p style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; font-family:"Avenir Next W01", "Avenir Next W00", "Avenir Next", Avenir, "Helvetica Neue", sans-serif; font-size:16px;"><strong><span style="font-family:inherit; font-size:medium;">Model Validation</span></strong><br /></p><div style="font-family:"Avenir Next W01", "Avenir Next W00", "Avenir Next", Avenir, "Helvetica Neue", sans-serif; font-size:16px;"><p style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px;"><span style="font-family:inherit; font-size:large;">The "Model Validation" view on the Freshwater Explorer shows the predictive performance at reference sites that were used to develop PBC model. In the wetter and more forested areas, reference sites were more abundant and predictions are more precise. In the central U.S., fewer reference sites were available and predictions are more uncertain. In the grass and shrub lands east of the continental divide, measured SC was over-predicted by the model by more than 100 µS/cm at 5% of sites (yellow dots) and under-predicted by more than 100 µS/cm at 3% of sites (red dots). Calculated differences between measured and predicted SC are reported as residuals in pop-up boxes on this view. There are many potential causes for these differences, including data reporting errors and reference site reliability. </span></p><p style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px;"><span style="font-family:inherit; font-size:large;"> </span></p><p style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px;"><span style="font-family:inherit; font-size:large;">Overall, the model explained most of the variation in SC and produced reasonably accurate predictions for both calibration data (Mean Absolute Error = 22 µS/cm, Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency = 0.92, and Coefficient of Determination = 0.92) and external validation data (Mean Absolute Error = 29 µS/cm, Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency = 0.87, and Coefficient of Determination = 0.87). Values reported as background only apply to streams and have not been validated for lakes or wetlands.</span></p><p style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px;"><span style="font-family:inherit;"> </span></p><p style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px;"><span style="font-family:inherit;"><span style="font-family:inherit; font-size:large;">More details can be found in <em>Olson and Cormier (2019)</em>.</span><br /></span></p><p style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px;"><span style="font-family:inherit;"> </span></p><p style="margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0.0001pt;"><strong><span style="font-family:inherit; font-size:large;">References</span></strong></p><ul><li><span style="font-family:inherit; font-size:large;">Hill, R.A., Weber, M.H., Leibowitz, M.H., Olsen, A.R., Thornbrugh, D.J., 2016. The Stream-Catchment (StreamCat) Dataset: A Database of Watershed Metrics for the Conterminous United States. 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Copyright Text: Cormier, S. M., Wharton, C., and Olson, J.R.